城市生鲜农产品供应链韧性评价及路径优化研究
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F326.6

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国家社会科学基金(22BGL274);现代农业产业技术体系建设专项(CARS-46)


Research on resilience evaluation and path optimization of urban fresh agricultural product supply chain
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    摘要:

    在全球公共安全事件频发、城市食品系统面临多重不确定性冲击的背景下,提升城市生鲜农产品供应链的韧性已成为保障民生安全与维持城市系统稳定运行的关键议题。生鲜农产品具有易腐性强、流通环节多、储存难度大、即时需求高等特征,使其供应链在遭遇突发风险事件时更易发生中断。本研究以城市生鲜农产品供应链为研究对象,聚焦城市生鲜农产品供应链在非常态情境下的响应能力与运行保障能力,基于PPRR理论、动态能力理论与农产品供应链管理理论构建分析框架,系统提炼预测能力、适应能力、恢复能力与学习能力4个核心维度。在此基础上,设计包含13项指标的韧性评价体系,采用层次分析法(AHP)赋权,并结合模糊综合评价法对上海市生鲜农产品供应链韧性进行实证测度。结果显示:上海市在应急响应机制、制度调节能力方面具备较强基础,但在风险预警能力、组织培训频次、信息共享效率等方面仍存在明显短板。基于研究结果,提出以信息感知系统建设、多元储备体系布局、资源调配机制优化与组织学习能力提升为重点的路径优化建议。

    Abstract:

    In the context of frequent global public security incidents and multiple uncertain shocks to urban food systems, improving the resilience of urban fresh agricultural product supply chains has become a key issue to ensure people's livelihood security and maintain the stable operation of urban systems. Fresh agricultural products are characterized by strong perishability, multiple circulation links, high storage difficulty, and high immediate demand, which makes their supply chains more prone to interruption when encountering sudden risk events. This study takes the urban fresh agricultural product supply chain as the research object, focusing on the response capability and operation guarantee capability of the urban fresh agricultural product supply chain in abnormal situations. Based on the PPRR theory, dynamic capability theory and agricultural product supply chain management theory, an analysis framework is constructed to systematically refine the four core dimensions of prediction capability, adaptability, recovery capability and learning capability. On this basis, a resilience evaluation system containing 13 indicators is designed, and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to assign weights, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is combined to empirically measure the resilience of the fresh agricultural product supply chain in Shanghai. The results show that Shanghai has a strong foundation in emergency response mechanism and institutional regulation capabilities, but still has obvious shortcomings in risk warning capabilities, organizational training frequency, and information sharing efficiency. Based on the research results, this paper proposes path optimization suggestions focusing on the construction of information perception system, layout of diversified reserve system, optimization of resource allocation mechanism and improvement of organizational learning ability.

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姜启军,袁一润.城市生鲜农产品供应链韧性评价及路径优化研究[J].上海海洋大学学报,2025,34(6):1404-1414.
JIANG Qijun, YUAN Yirun. Research on resilience evaluation and path optimization of urban fresh agricultural product supply chain[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2025,34(6):1404-1414.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-16
  • 最后修改日期:2025-05-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-06
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