全球金枪鱼贸易网络及中国金枪鱼贸易格局变化分析
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F 319.9

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农业农村部“全球重要鱼种资源动态监测评估-全球重点远洋渔业水产品贸易网络结构和价格形成机制分析”项目(D-8021-22-0129-02);东太平洋南部公海金枪鱼资源探捕项目(CTZB-2022080077);农业农村部“鱼种资深监测-金枪鱼渔业产品贸易和市场调查监测”项目(D-8025-23-1001-19)


Analysis of the global tuna trade network and the change of China’s tuna trade pattern
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Monitoring and Assessment of the Dynamics of Globally Key Fish Stocks(D-8021-22-0129-02);Exploration of High Seas Tuna Resources in the Southern Eastern Pacific Ocean(CTZB-2022080077)

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    摘要:

    随着金枪鱼供需格局、贸易政策、资源禀赋等因素变化,其贸易关系呈多样化发展态势,掌握全球金枪鱼贸易网络特征及中国金枪鱼贸易格局变化对中国优化金枪鱼贸易政策具有重要意义。本文采用复杂网络分析法,分别构建冰鲜类和冷冻加工类金枪鱼贸易网络,同时借助枢纽测度指数(Hubness measures index,HMI)测算中国对金枪鱼目标出口贸易伙伴的依赖程度。结果显示:2002—2020年全球冰鲜金枪鱼贸易网络密度由0.027增至0.030,美国、日本和西班牙的中介中心度较高,中国的节点度、中介中心度和强度都较低;冷冻加工金枪鱼贸易的网络密度由0.049增至0.063,泰国的中介中心度稳居全球第一,中国的节点度、中介中心度和强度均显著增加,但中介中心度排名相对靠后;除部分国家(地区)外,中国金枪鱼主要出口市场的HMI都较低且总体呈下降趋势,其中泰国是中国金枪鱼最大的出口市场,但源自中国的金枪鱼占泰国金枪鱼总进口额的平均比例仅为6.9%。研究表明:(1)全球金枪鱼贸易网络密度小,但总体呈增大趋势;冰鲜金枪鱼贸易网络中,美国、日本和一些欧洲国家占据核心地位,对贸易的控制能力较强;冷冻加工金枪鱼贸易网络中,泰国是最具影响力的国家;(2)中国在金枪鱼贸易网络中的特征变化明显,地位日渐提升,但总体影响力与贸易规模排名不匹配;(3)中国与主要的金枪鱼进口国(地区)仍有较大的贸易合作潜力。

    Abstract:

    With the changes in tuna supply and demand pattern, trade policy, resource endowment and other factors in the world, the tuna trade relationship is undergoing a period of diversification. Understanding the characteristics of the global tuna trade network and the changes in China’s tuna trade pattern is important for China to optimize its tuna trade policies. In this study, the trade networks of fresh or chilled and elaborate tuna are researched using the complex network analysis method. Changes in the global tuna trade network pattern and the characteristics of China’s tuna trade network are investigated. In addition, the Hubness measures index (HMI) is employed to measure the degree of China’s reliance on its principal tuna export trading markets. Results are as follows: (1) From 2002 to 2020, the global fresh or chilled tuna trade network density increased from 0.027 to 0.030. The United States, Japan, and Spain had comparatively high betweenness centrality, whereas China’s node degree, betweenness centrality, and strength were all small. (2) The network density of elaborate tuna trade increased from 0.049 to 0.063. Thailand’s betweenness centrality ranked first in the world. China’s node degree, betweenness centrality and strength all increased significantly, but its betweenness centrality ranked relatively low. (3) With the exception of a few countries (regions), the HMI of China’s primary tuna export markets are all low and generally declining. Thailand is China’s greatest export market for tuna, but the average proportion of Chinese-origin tuna in Thailand’s total tuna imports is only 6.9%. Conclusions are as follows: (1) The density of world tuna trade network is low with an overall rising trend. In trading network for fresh or chilled tuna, the United States, Japan and a few European countries maintain prominent positions and exert considerable influence over the industry. In the elaborate tuna trade network, Thailand is the most influential country; (2) The pattern of China’s tuna trade network has changed significantly, and its status is progressively rising; however, its overall influence does not correspond to the ranking of trade scale; (3) China still has great potential for trade collaboration with major tuna import markets.

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宋梦歌,张俊波,杨晨星,吕泽华,吴峰,朱江峰.全球金枪鱼贸易网络及中国金枪鱼贸易格局变化分析[J].上海海洋大学学报,2024,33(1):242-253.
SONG Mengge, ZHANG Junbo, YANG Chenxing, LYU Zehua, WU Feng, ZHU Jiangfeng. Analysis of the global tuna trade network and the change of China’s tuna trade pattern[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2024,33(1):242-253.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-04-01
  • 最后修改日期:2023-08-17
  • 录用日期:2023-09-22
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-01-29
  • 出版日期: 2024-01-20
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