The spawning ground of Ommastrephes bartramii is divided into empirical spawning ground and speculated spawning ground. By analyzing the correlation between the proportions of the appropriate sea surface temperature (SST) area in the total area (P_S) in the empirical spawning ground, speculated spawning ground and feeding ground each month, a linear prediction model was established by selecting the month with significant statistical relationship between P_S and catch per unit fishing effort (CPUE). Under the two scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, the recruitment of O. bartramii resources was predicted using this model and the P_S of the statistical significant months in 2025, 2055 and 2095. The results showed that the suitable SST range of the empirical spawning ground of O. bartramii would move northward under the climate change scenario, and would reach the northernmost edge of the empirical spawning ground in 2095. The average P_S of the empirical spawning ground between January and April decrease, but the change might not be significant. The suitable SST range of the speculated spawning ground also would move northward, reaching the northernmost edge of the speculated spawning ground in 2095, which is beyond the range of speculated spawning ground. The average P_S of the speculated spawning ground between January and April would decrease, and the change might be significant. The suitable SST range of the feeding ground moves northward and tends to expand. The average P_S of the feeding ground between July and October showed a downward trend with a significant change. The result of correlation analysis showed that there was a significant positive correlation between P_S and CPUE of speculated spawning ground in February and March. In the future, the CPUE of O. bartramii will decline. By 2025, the CPUE of O. bartramii will be (208.87±5.46) ton per vessel. By 2055, it will be (198.00±47.92) ton per vessel. By 2095, it will be (154.35±48.72) ton per vessel. Decline of O. bartramii resources will be 60.08% in 2095 compared with 2000.It is suggested that proper measures compatible with climate change be adopted for sustainable development of O. bartramii fishery under the maintenance and management mode and framework of NPFC.